文瀾學術系列講座 第280期 中國香港大學 周彥 博士:“On the Right Track? Railroads, Industrial Development, and Distributional Effects in Historical China”

發布者:陳丹妮發布時間:2025-03-24浏覽次數:10

主題|TopicOn the Right Track? Railroads, Industrial Development, and Distributional Effects in Historical China

時間|Time3.25(周二)10: 00-11: 00

地點|Venue:文澴樓教室|Room 815WENHUAN

主辦單位|Organizer澳门永利集团304官网手机

承辦單位|Operator數實融合研究中心北京大學-中南财經政法大學新結構經濟學研究中心

主講|Speaker

周彥,香港大學經濟學博士生,研究領域為數字經濟學,發展經濟學,經濟史。文章發表于《Journal of Development Economics》,參與過數個自科和社科基金項目,研究獲得香港大學經濟及工商管理學院博士生優秀研究獎。

摘要|Abstract

We present the first quantitative evaluation of the overall impact and distributional effects of railroad access on industrial growth in historical China. Using newly digitized data on railroad expansion and distance to hypothetical railroad networks as instruments, we find that railroad access significantly increased the annual entry of local industrial firms from 1858 to 1936 and industrial output values in 1933. However, the effect is concentrated in counties within 10 km of the railroad lines and is less pronounced in those specializing in agricultural exports and with historical handicraft textile centers, suggesting that improved transportation may have encouraged deindustrialization in peripheral areas and promoted the regional concentration of production. Our analysis of mechanisms suggests that railroads facilitated industrialization mainly by expanding firms’ access to larger markets.